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Portfolios under different methods and scenarios: A case of Fiji's South Pacific stock exchange

Journal of risk and financial management, 2022-12, Vol.15 (12), p.1-27 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

2022 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. ;ISSN: 1911-8074 ;ISSN: 1911-8066 ;EISSN: 1911-8074 ;DOI: 10.3390/jrfm15120549

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  • Title:
    Portfolios under different methods and scenarios: A case of Fiji's South Pacific stock exchange
  • Author: Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh ; Stauvermann, Peter
  • Subjects: Asset allocation ; beta-adjusted portfolios ; Developing countries ; Economic growth ; equally weighted ; Fiji ; Foreign exchange rates ; GDP ; Gross Domestic Product ; Interest rates ; Investments ; LDCs ; mean-variance ; New stock market listings ; Securities analysis ; Securities markets ; semi-variance ; South Pacific Stock Exchange ; Stock exchanges ; Stockholders ; Superannuation ; turbulence-adjusted portfolios ; utility
  • Is Part Of: Journal of risk and financial management, 2022-12, Vol.15 (12), p.1-27
  • Description: In this study, we analyze portfolio performance under different methods and scenarios for the small island economy of Fiji. In addition to documenting the historical performance and the smallness of the stock market, the study looks at the possibility of opting for an equally weighted (näive) portfolio against market and minimum variance portfolios. To this end, we extract monthly stock price data of 17/19 listed companies from August 2019 to July 2022 and invoke different approaches to develop portfolios under different scenarios. We consider the mean-variance, minimum variance, semi-variance, utility maximization, and minimum turbulence portfolios, based on beta-adjusted (CAPM-based) returns. The different portfolios presented in the study should provide some insights on asset allocation in Fiji's stock market. Interestingly, unlike average returns, the beta-adjusted returns indicate that an equally weighted portfolio can yield relatively higher expected returns than market portfolios, although, with a relatively higher standard deviation and lower Sharpe ratio than the optimized results. In a semi-variance analysis (where we account for downside risk only), equally weighted portfolio yields superior returns, albeit with a relatively lower Sortino ratio. Given that Fiji's stock market is currently a small, with a relatively small number of listed companies, potential and less sophisticated investors and analysts considering portfolios based on beta-adjusted returns, may simply opt for 1/N (näive) portfolios as a diversification strategy while realizing decent expected returns. The optimized portfolio under mean-variance, semi-variance, and utility are presented as alternative considerations for nuanced investors. Additionally, equally weighted turbulence-adjusted and minimum-turbulence portfolios are constructed to capture periods of unusualness and calmness in the market. The methodologies and the results presented can be adjusted and applied to other small markets and hence can influence investment decisions of investors in creating diversified portfolios under different scenarios.
  • Publisher: Basel: MDPI
  • Language: English
  • Identifier: ISSN: 1911-8074
    ISSN: 1911-8066
    EISSN: 1911-8074
    DOI: 10.3390/jrfm15120549
  • Source: Coronavirus Research Database
    ProQuest Central
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