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A consensus estimate for the ice thickness distribution of all glaciers on Earth

Nature geoscience, 2019-03, Vol.12 (3), p.168-173 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

2019© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited 2019 ;ISSN: 1752-0894 ;EISSN: 1752-0908 ;DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0300-3

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  • Title:
    A consensus estimate for the ice thickness distribution of all glaciers on Earth
  • Author: Farinotti, Daniel ; Huss, Matthias ; Fürst, Johannes J. ; Landmann, Johannes ; Machguth, Horst ; Maussion, Fabien ; Pandit, Ankur
  • Subjects: Antarctic ice sheet ; Distribution ; Dynamics ; Earth ; Freshwater ; Freshwater resources ; Glaciation ; Glacier ice ; Glacier thickness ; Glaciers ; Ice ; Ice cover ; Ice sheets ; Ice thickness ; Inland water environment ; Scaling ; Sea level ; Sea level changes ; Sea level rise ; Surface properties ; Thickness ; Volume
  • Is Part Of: Nature geoscience, 2019-03, Vol.12 (3), p.168-173
  • Description: Knowledge of the ice thickness distribution of the world’s glaciers is a fundamental prerequisite for a range of studies. Projections of future glacier change, estimates of the available freshwater resources or assessments of potential sea-level rise all need glacier ice thickness to be accurately constrained. Previous estimates of global glacier volumes are mostly based on scaling relations between glacier area and volume, and only one study provides global-scale information on the ice thickness distribution of individual glaciers. Here we use an ensemble of up to five models to provide a consensus estimate for the ice thickness distribution of all the about 215,000 glaciers outside the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. The models use principles of ice flow dynamics to invert for ice thickness from surface characteristics. We find a total volume of 158 ± 41 × 103 km3, which is equivalent to 0.32 ± 0.08 m of sea-level change when the fraction of ice located below present-day sea level (roughly 15%) is subtracted. Our results indicate that High Mountain Asia hosts about 27% less glacier ice than previously suggested, and imply that the timing by which the region is expected to lose half of its present-day glacier area has to be moved forward by about one decade. The ice volume of glaciers outside the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets totals about 158,000 km3, with about 27% less ice in High Mountain Asia than thought, according to multiple models that estimate ice thickness from surface characteristics.
  • Publisher: London: Nature Publishing Group
  • Language: English
  • Identifier: ISSN: 1752-0894
    EISSN: 1752-0908
    DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0300-3
  • Source: ProQuest Central
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