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Investigating the sources of Black's leverage effect in oil and gas stocks

Cogent economics & finance, 2017, Vol.5 (1), p.1-13 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

2017 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license 2017 ;2017 The Author(s). This open access article is distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 license. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. ;ISSN: 2332-2039 ;EISSN: 2332-2039 ;DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2017.1318812

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  • Title:
    Investigating the sources of Black's leverage effect in oil and gas stocks
  • Author: Sanusi, Muhammad Surajo
  • McMillan, David
  • Subjects: Asset pricing ; Black people ; Black's leverage effect ; book-to-market value ; debt-to-total assets ; EGARCH ; Fama-French-Carhart ; Financial leverage ; Hypotheses ; Innovations ; interest expenses-to-total assets ; Leverage ; Long term debt ; long-term debt-to-market value of equity ; Market value ; Natural gas utilities ; Petroleum ; Rates of return ; Regression analysis ; Risk factors ; size effect
  • Is Part Of: Cogent economics & finance, 2017, Vol.5 (1), p.1-13
  • Description: The Black's leverage effect hypothesis postulates that a negative stock return innovation increases the financial leverage of a firm since the value of equity decreases at a given level of debt, which, in turn, creates a higher equity return volatility in the future. The paper is aimed at investigating the authenticity of the Black's leverage effect hypothesis and the relationship between negative stock returns and the financial leverage of the UK oil and gas stocks from 2004 to 2015. For each stock, exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model was estimated using Fama-French-Carhart 4-factor asset pricing model to extract the difference between the effects of negative and positive stock return innovations, regarded as leverage effect. The leverage effect parameter was further regressed on the financial leverage ratios of the book value of long-term debt to total assets, interest expenses to total assets and long-term debt to market value of equity to examine whether variation in the leverage parameter was as a result of variation in the firm's financial leverage. The findings of the study show that Fama-French-Carhart four risk factors of market, size effect, value and momentum were significant in the stock returns of most of the oil and gas companies. The mixed results in the significance level of the factors were attributed to the differences in individual firm characteristics. An evidence of leverage effect was also found in all the oil and gas stock returns but no evidence to suggest it was derived from the changes in the financial leverage of the companies. The implication of these findings for financial managers in the oil and gas industry was that while asset pricing frameworks such as CAPM and its extensions are relevant in determining oil stock returns, the level of gearing is irrelevant, albeit it has been recognised as one of the determinants of the firm's level of risk.
  • Publisher: Abingdon: Taylor & Francis
  • Language: English
  • Identifier: ISSN: 2332-2039
    EISSN: 2332-2039
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2017.1318812
  • Source: Taylor & Francis Open Access Journals
    ROAD: Directory of Open Access Scholarly Resources
    ProQuest Central
    DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals

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