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Global energy growth is outpacing decarbonization

Environmental research letters, , Vol.13 (12), p.120401 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

2018 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd ;2018. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. ;Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ;ISSN: 1748-9326 ;EISSN: 1748-9326 ;DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaf303 ;CODEN: ERLNAL

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  • Title:
    Global energy growth is outpacing decarbonization
  • Author: Jackson, R B ; Le Quéré, C ; Andrew, R M ; Canadell, J G ; Korsbakken, J I ; Liu, Z ; Peters, G P ; Zheng, B
  • Subjects: Burning ; Carbon dioxide ; Carbon sources ; Developed countries ; Developing countries ; Earth Sciences ; Emissions ; Emissions control ; Energy consumption ; Fossil fuels ; Fuels ; Global economy ; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ; LDCs ; Natural gas ; Sciences of the Universe
  • Is Part Of: Environmental research letters, , Vol.13 (12), p.120401
  • Description: Recent reports have highlighted the challenge of keeping global average temperatures below 2 °C and-even more so-1.5 °C (IPCC 2018). Fossil-fuel burning and cement production release ∼90% of all CO2 emissions from human activities. After a three-year hiatus with stable global emissions (Jackson et al 2016; Le Quéré C et al 2018a ; IEA 2018), CO2 emissions grew by 1.6% in 2017 to 36.2 Gt (billion tonnes), and are expected to grow a further 2.7% in 2018 (range: 1.8%-3.7%) to a record 37.1 2 Gt CO2 (Le Quéré et al 2018b). Additional increases in 2019 remain uncertain but appear likely because of persistent growth in oil and natural gas use and strong growth projected for the global economy. Coal use has slowed markedly in the last few years, potentially peaking, but its future trajectory remains uncertain. Despite positive progress in ∼19 countries whose economies have grown over the last decade and their emissions have declined, growth in energy use from fossil-fuel sources is still outpacing the rise of low-carbon sources and activities. A robust global economy, insufficient emission reductions in developed countries, and a need for increased energy use in developing countries where per capita emissions remain far below those of wealthier nations will continue to put upward pressure on CO2 emissions. Peak emissions will occur only when total fossil CO2 emissions finally start to decline despite growth in global energy consumption, with fossil energy production replaced by rapidly growing low- or no-carbon technologies.
  • Publisher: Bristol: IOP Publishing
  • Language: English
  • Identifier: ISSN: 1748-9326
    EISSN: 1748-9326
    DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaf303
    CODEN: ERLNAL
  • Source: IOP Publishing Free Content
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