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A desvalorização cambial e a exportação de produtos florestais madeireiros
Revista de economia e sociologia rural, 2019-09, Vol.57 (3), p.368-378
[Peer Reviewed Journal]
ISSN: 0103-2003 ;EISSN: 1806-9479 ;DOI: 10.1590/1806-9479.2019.186857
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Title:
A desvalorização cambial e a exportação de produtos florestais madeireiros
Author:
Hersen, Amarildo
;
Hoeflich, Vitor Afonso
;
Lima, Jandir Ferrera de
Is Part Of:
Revista de economia e sociologia rural, 2019-09, Vol.57 (3), p.368-378
Description:
Resumo O objetivo deste artigo é analisar o comportamento das exportações de produtos madeireiros do setor florestal após a desvalorização cambial, a partir de 2012. O método de avaliação de impacto foi o de diferença em diferenças (DD). Os resultados apontam que, apesar de as exportações representarem, em média, volume menor que a comercialização doméstica, elas tiveram variação absoluta mais expressiva com a desvalorização da moeda brasileira, a partir de 2012. A expressiva queda do real frente ao dólar possibilitou uma trajetória do volume de produtos madeireiros exportados mais positiva que na hipótese de sua inexistência. Contudo, políticas públicas de inclusão do pequeno produtor e empresários do setor madeireiro poderiam ter possibilitado resultados ainda mais satisfatórios, além de se tratar de políticas de emprego e renda. Abstract The objective of this paper is to analyze the behavior of wood forest products exports after the exchange rate devaluation, which has started in the second half of 2012. The method of impact evaluation was the difference in differences (DD). The results show that, although exports represent, on average, a smaller quantity than domestic trades, they registered a more significant absolute variation, with the exchange devaluation. The significant exchange rate devaluation resulted in a positive trajectory of the volume of shipped wood products than in the hypothesis of its non-existence, verified by comparing the rate of change with the counterfactual of the treated group. However, public inclusion policies of the small producer and entrepreneurs of the sector could have led to even more satisfactory results, in addition to being inclusive policies.
Language:
English
Identifier:
ISSN: 0103-2003
EISSN: 1806-9479
DOI: 10.1590/1806-9479.2019.186857
Source:
Open Access: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals
Digital Library of the Commons
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