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Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

The Lancet (British edition), 2021-06, Vol.397 (10292), p.2337-2360 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license ;Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved. ;2021. The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. This work is published under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ (theLicense”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. ;2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license 2021 ;ISSN: 0140-6736 ;ISSN: 1474-547X ;EISSN: 1474-547X ;DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01169-7 ;PMID: 34051883

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Title:
Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Author: Kendrick, Parkes J ; Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen ; Abdoli, Amir ; Abhilash, E S ; Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet ; Allebeck, Peter ; Anderson, Jason A ; Anvari, Davood ; B, Darshan B ; Bayati, Mohsen ; Bennett, Derrick A ; Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth ; Chu, Dinh-Toi ; Chung, Sheng-Chia ; Damiani, Giovanni ; Dandona, Rakhi ; Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda ; Dianatinasab, Mostafa ; Duraes, Andre Rodrigues ; Ebrahimi Kalan, Mohammad ; Fadhil, Ibtihal ; Feldman, Rachel ; Ferrara, Pietro ; Foroutan, Masoud ; Gallus, Silvano ; Gopalani, Sameer Vali ; Greaves, Felix ; Guha, Avirup ; Gupta, Rajat Das ; Hafezi-Nejad, Nima ; Hird, Thomas R ; Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi ; Hsiao, Thomas ; Ilic, Milena D ; Inbaraj, Leeberk Raja ; Islami, Farhad ; Jayaram, Shubha ; Jha, Ravi Prakash ; Jonas, Jost B ; Kanchan, Tanuj ; Kandel, Himal ; Kapoor, Neeti ; Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal ; Kebede, Hafte Kahsay ; Khoja, Abdullah T ; Kim, Young-Eun ; Kugbey, Nuworza ; Lam, Jennifer O ; Landires, Iván ; Liu, Wei ; Lorkowski, Stefan ; Malta, Deborah Carvalho ; Miazgowski, Bartosz ; Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Mehdi ; Misra, Sanjeev ; Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah ; Nair, Sanjeev ; Narasimha Swamy, Sreenivas ; Nguyen, Son Hoang ; Norrving, Bo ; Noubiap, Jean Jacques ; Olagunju, Andrew T ; Oren, Eyal ; Otstavnov, Nikita ; Owolabi, Mayowa O ; P A, Mahesh ; Pakhale, Smita ; Palladino, Raffaele ; Park, Eun-Kee ; Pestell, Richard G ; Rathi, Priya ; Sahebkar, Amirhossein ; Samaei, Mehrnoosh ; Santos, Itamar S ; Sarrafzadegan, Nizal ; Schmidt, Maria Inês ; Schneider, Ione Jayce Ceola ; Shah, Syed Mahboob ; Sharafi, Kiomars ; Sheikhbahaei, Sara ; Shishani, Kawkab ; Sigurvinsdottir, Rannveig ; Silva, Diego Augusto Santos ; Singh, Virendra ; Stortecky, Stefan ; Sulo, Gerhard ; Sundström, Johan ; Tabuchi, Takahiro ; Temsah, Mohamad-Hani ; Thapar, Rekha ; Tripathy, Jaya Prasad ; Tsilimparis, Nikolaos ; Tymeson, Hayley D ; Ullah, Saif ; Updike, Rachel L ; Valdez, Pascual R ; Verma, Madhur ; Yandrapalli, Srikanth ; Zahirian Moghadam, Telma ; Zandian, Hamed
Subjects: Adult ; Age ; Age Distribution ; Aged ; Bayesian analysis ; Charities ; Electronic cigarettes ; Epidemics ; Estimates ; Fatalities ; Female ; Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi ; Global Burden of Disease ; Global Health ; Health risks ; Humans ; Hälsovetenskap ; Infectious diseases ; Lung cancer ; Male ; Males ; Medicin och hälsovetenskap ; Middle Aged ; Mortality ; Nonlinear response ; Population growth ; Prevalence ; Public health ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years ; Reduction ; Risk analysis ; Risk factors ; Sex Factors ; Smoking ; Smoking - epidemiology ; Smoking - mortality ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Territory ; Tobacco ; Tobacco Use - epidemiology ; Tobacco Use - mortality ; Trends
Is Part Of: The Lancet (British edition), 2021-06, Vol.397 (10292), p.2337-2360
Description: Ending the global tobacco epidemic is a defining challenge in global health. Timely and comprehensive estimates of the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden are needed to guide tobacco control efforts nationally and globally. We estimated the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden for 204 countries and territories, by age and sex, from 1990 to 2019 as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study. We modelled multiple smoking-related indicators from 3625 nationally representative surveys. We completed systematic reviews and did Bayesian meta-regressions for 36 causally linked health outcomes to estimate non-linear dose-response risk curves for current and former smokers. We used a direct estimation approach to estimate attributable burden, providing more comprehensive estimates of the health effects of smoking than previously available. Globally in 2019, 1·14 billion (95% uncertainty interval 1·13–1·16) individuals were current smokers, who consumed 7·41 trillion (7·11–7·74) cigarette-equivalents of tobacco in 2019. Although prevalence of smoking had decreased significantly since 1990 among both males (27·5% [26·5–28·5] reduction) and females (37·7% [35·4–39·9] reduction) aged 15 years and older, population growth has led to a significant increase in the total number of smokers from 0·99 billion (0·98–1·00) in 1990. Globally in 2019, smoking tobacco use accounted for 7·69 million (7·16–8·20) deaths and 200 million (185–214) disability-adjusted life-years, and was the leading risk factor for death among males (20·2% [19·3–21·1] of male deaths). 6·68 million [86·9%] of 7·69 million deaths attributable to smoking tobacco use were among current smokers. In the absence of intervention, the annual toll of 7·69 million deaths and 200 million disability-adjusted life-years attributable to smoking will increase over the coming decades. Substantial progress in reducing the prevalence of smoking tobacco use has been observed in countries from all regions and at all stages of development, but a large implementation gap remains for tobacco control. Countries have a clear and urgent opportunity to pass strong, evidence-based policies to accelerate reductions in the prevalence of smoking and reap massive health benefits for their citizens. Bloomberg Philanthropies and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Publisher: England: Elsevier Ltd
Language: English
Identifier: ISSN: 0140-6736
ISSN: 1474-547X
EISSN: 1474-547X
DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01169-7
PMID: 34051883
Source: ProQuest One Psychology
AUTh Library subscriptions: ProQuest Central
MEDLINE
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Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

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