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Biotic and anthropogenic forces rival climatic/abiotic factors in determining global plant population growth and fitness

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2020-01, Vol.117 (2), p.1107-1112 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. ;Copyright National Academy of Sciences Jan 14, 2020 ;Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. 2020 ;ISSN: 0027-8424 ;ISSN: 1091-6490 ;EISSN: 1091-6490 ;DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1918363117 ;PMID: 31888999

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  • Title:
    Biotic and anthropogenic forces rival climatic/abiotic factors in determining global plant population growth and fitness
  • Author: Morris, William F. ; Ehrlén, Johan ; Dahlgren, Johan P. ; Loomis, Alexander K. ; Louthan, Allison M.
  • Subjects: Abiotic factors ; Anthropogenic factors ; anthropogenic impacts ; Biodiversity ; Biological Sciences ; Climate ; Climate Change ; Demographics ; Ecology ; Ecosystem ; Ecosystem services ; Environmental changes ; environmental driver ; Growth rate ; Human influences ; Humans ; Mitigation ; Natural disturbance ; Natural populations ; Plant Development ; Plant Physiological Phenomena ; Plants ; Population Growth ; population growth rate ; species interactions ; Terrestrial environments
  • Is Part Of: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2020-01, Vol.117 (2), p.1107-1112
  • Description: Multiple, simultaneous environmental changes, in climatic/abiotic factors, interacting species, and direct human influences, are impacting natural populations and thus biodiversity, ecosystem services, and evolutionary trajectories. Determining whether the magnitudes of the population impacts of abiotic, biotic, and anthropogenic drivers differ, accounting for their direct effects and effects mediated through other drivers, would allow us to better predict population fates and design mitigation strategies. We compiled 644 paired values of the population growth rate (λ) from high and low levels of an identified driver from demographic studies of terrestrial plants. Among abiotic drivers, natural disturbance (not climate), and among biotic drivers, interactions with neighboring plants had the strongest effects on λ. However, when drivers were combined into the 3 main types, their average effects on λ did not differ. For the subset of studies that measured both the average and variability of the driver, λ was marginally more sensitive to 1 SD of change in abiotic drivers relative to biotic drivers, but sensitivity to biotic drivers was still substantial. Similar impact magnitudes for abiotic/biotic/anthropogenic drivers hold for plants of different growth forms, for different latitudinal zones, and for biomes characterized by harsher or milder abiotic conditions, suggesting that all 3 drivers have equivalent impacts across a variety of contexts. Thus, the best available information about the integrated effects of drivers on all demographic rates provides no justification for ignoring drivers of any of these 3 types when projecting ecological and evolutionary responses of populations and of biodiversity to environmental changes.
  • Publisher: United States: National Academy of Sciences
  • Language: English
  • Identifier: ISSN: 0027-8424
    ISSN: 1091-6490
    EISSN: 1091-6490
    DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1918363117
    PMID: 31888999
  • Source: GFMER Free Medical Journals
    MEDLINE
    PubMed Central
    SWEPUB Freely available online
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