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Desempenho das exportações brasileiras de celulose Performance of the Brazilian wood pulp export
Revista árvore, 2006-12, Vol.30 (6), p.1017-1023
[Peer Reviewed Journal]
ISSN: 0100-6762 ;EISSN: 1806-9088 ;DOI: 10.1590/S0100-67622006000600017
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Title:
Desempenho das exportações brasileiras de celulose Performance of the Brazilian wood pulp export
Author:
Sebastião Renato Valverde
;
Naisy Silva Soares
;
Márcio Lopes da Silva
Subjects:
celulose e mercado internacional
;
Constant-Market-Share
;
wood pulp and international market
Is Part Of:
Revista árvore, 2006-12, Vol.30 (6), p.1017-1023
Description:
Este estudo objetivou de analisar o desempenho das exportações brasileiras de celulose, de 1993 a 2002, pelo método de Constant-Market-Share (CMS). Foi analisado o desempenho das exportações do Brasil, Canadá, EUA, Suécia e Finlândia, cujos resultados obtidos pela aplicação do método evidenciaram que o crescimento das exportações de celulose do Brasil e de seus principais concorrentes no mercado internacional foi explicado, principalmente, pelo crescimento do comércio mundial. O Brasil apresentou o maior efeito competitividade no ranking das exportações, seguido da Finlândia, já os demais países tiveram queda desse efeito. O crescimento da renda nos mercados compradores de celulose do Canadá, EUA e Suécia foi fator determinante do crescimento das exportações de celulose desses países. O contrário ocorreu com a renda dos países de destino das exportações brasileiras e finlandesas. A projeção das exportações de celulose indicou que, em 2035, o Brasil será o maior exportador de celulose em termos de valor exportado, mantidas as taxas de crescimento das exportações.This study has the objective of analyzing the performance of the Brazilian wood pulp export, from 1993 to 2002, applying the constant-market-share method (CMS). The export performance of Brazil, Canada, USA, Sweden and Finland were evaluated. The growth of the Brazilian wood pulp export and of the main competitor in the international market was explained mainly by the growth of international trade. Brazil presented the highest competitiveness followed by Finland. The other countries presented decrease in competitiveness. The income growth of wood pulp buyer markets from Canada, USA and Sweden was a determinant for the growth of those country exports. The opposite happened with the income of countries of destination of the Brazilian and Finnish exports. The projection export indicated that in 2035 Brazil will be the major wood pulp exporter, in terms of export value, if the taxes of exports growth are maintained.
Publisher:
Sociedade de Investigações Florestais
Language:
English
Identifier:
ISSN: 0100-6762
EISSN: 1806-9088
DOI: 10.1590/S0100-67622006000600017
Source:
Digital Library of the Commons
DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals
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