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Cash Flow Patterns as a Proxy for Firm Life Cycle

The Accounting review, 2011-11, Vol.86 (6), p.1969-1994 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

2011 American Accounting Association ;Copyright American Accounting Association Nov 2011 ;ISSN: 0001-4826 ;EISSN: 1558-7967 ;DOI: 10.2308/accr-10130 ;CODEN: ACRVAS

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Title:
Cash Flow Patterns as a Proxy for Firm Life Cycle
Author: Dickinson, Victoria
Subjects: Business management ; Cash flow ; Cash flow forecasting ; Developmental stages ; Economic performance ; Economic theory ; Enterprises ; Financial management ; Investors ; Life cycles ; Lifecycle funds ; Profit forecasting ; Profit margins ; Profitability ; Profitable firms ; Proxy reporting ; Proxy statements ; Rates of return ; Responsibility accounting ; Studies
Is Part Of: The Accounting review, 2011-11, Vol.86 (6), p.1969-1994
Description: This study develops a firm life cycle proxy using cash flow patterns. The patterns provide a parsimonious indicator of life cycle stage that is free from distributional assumptions (i.e., uniformity). The proxy identifies differential behavior in the persistence and convergence patterns of profitability. For example, return on net operating assets (RNOA) does not mean-revert (spread of 7 percent after five years between mature and decline firms) when examined by life cycle stage, which has implications for growth rates and forecast horizons. Further, determinants of future profitability such as asset turnover and profit margin are differentially successful in generating increases in profitability conditional on life cycle stage. Finally, investors do not fully incorporate the information contained in cash flow patterns and, as a result, undervalue mature firms. The cash flow proxy is a robust tool that has applications in analysis, forecasting, valuation, and as a control variable for future research.
Publisher: Sarasota: American Accounting Association
Language: English
Identifier: ISSN: 0001-4826
EISSN: 1558-7967
DOI: 10.2308/accr-10130
CODEN: ACRVAS
Source: ProQuest Central

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Cash Flow Patterns as a Proxy for Firm Life Cycle

2011 American Accounting Association ;Copyright American Accounting Association Nov 2011 ;ISSN: 0001-4826 ;EISSN: 1558-7967 ;DOI: 10.2308/accr-10130 ;CODEN: ACRVAS

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