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Digging into the Pocketbook: Evidence on Economic Voting from Income Registry Data Matched to a Voter Survey

The American political science review, 2017-11, Vol.111 (4), p.771-785 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

Copyright © American Political Science Association 2017 ;American Political Science Association 2017 ;ISSN: 0003-0554 ;EISSN: 1537-5943 ;DOI: 10.1017/S0003055417000314

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Title:
Digging into the Pocketbook: Evidence on Economic Voting from Income Registry Data Matched to a Voter Survey
Author: HEALY, ANDREW J. ; PERSSON, MIKAEL ; SNOWBERG, ERIK
Subjects: 2012 ; Aggregate data ; approval ; Bias ; Earned income tax credit ; Economic conditions ; Economic statistics ; Elections ; Experiments ; Government & Law ; Great Recession ; Growth rate ; Historical data ; Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ; macropartisanship ; mass-media ; Myopia ; OCK JAMES H ; P518 ; Partisanship ; perceptions ; Personal finance ; Personal income ; personal-experience ; Political alliances ; Political Science ; Politics ; Polls & surveys ; presidential ; Statsvetenskap ; support ; sweden ; swedish parliamentary election ; Tax cuts ; Unemployment ; V20 ; Voter behavior ; Voters ; Voting
Is Part Of: The American political science review, 2017-11, Vol.111 (4), p.771-785
Description: To paint a fuller picture of economic voters, we combine personal income records with a representative election survey. We examine three central topics in the economic voting literature: pocketbook versus sociotropic voting, the effects of partisanship on economic evaluations, and voter myopia. First, we show that voters who appear in survey data to be voting based on the national economy are, in fact, voting equally on the basis of their personal financial conditions. Second, there is strong evidence of both partisan bias and economic information in economic evaluations, but personal economic data is required to separate the two. Third, although in experiments and aggregate historical data recent economic conditions appear to drive vote choice, we find no evidence of myopia when we examine actual personal economic data.
Publisher: New York, USA: Cambridge University Press
Language: English
Identifier: ISSN: 0003-0554
EISSN: 1537-5943
DOI: 10.1017/S0003055417000314
Source: SWEPUB Freely available online
ProQuest Central

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Digging into the Pocketbook: Evidence on Economic Voting from Income Registry Data Matched to a Voter Survey

Copyright © American Political Science Association 2017 ;American Political Science Association 2017 ;ISSN: 0003-0554 ;EISSN: 1537-5943 ;DOI: 10.1017/S0003055417000314

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