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Impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the US equity sectors: Evidence from quantile return spillovers

Financial innovation (Heidelberg), 2021-03, Vol.7 (1), p.1-23, Article 14 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

The Author(s) 2021 ;The Author(s) 2021. ;The Author(s) 2021. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. ;ISSN: 2199-4730 ;EISSN: 2199-4730 ;DOI: 10.1186/s40854-021-00228-2 ;PMID: 35024275

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  • Title:
    Impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the US equity sectors: Evidence from quantile return spillovers
  • Author: Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain ; Bouri, Elie ; Kristoufek, Ladislav ; Saeed, Tareq
  • Subjects: Coronaviruses ; COVID-19 ; COVID-19 outbreak ; Economic impact ; Economics ; Economics and Finance ; Global risk aversion ; Granger causality ; Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics ; Pandemics ; Political Economy/Economic Systems ; Quantile return spillovers ; Securities markets ; Stock exchanges ; US equity sector indices
  • Is Part Of: Financial innovation (Heidelberg), 2021-03, Vol.7 (1), p.1-23, Article 14
  • Description: The aim of this study is to examine the extreme return spillovers among the US stock market sectors in the light of the COVID-19 outbreak. To this end, we extend the now-traditional Diebold-Yilmaz spillover index to the quantiles domain by building networks of generalized forecast error variance decomposition of a quantile vector autoregressive model specifically for extreme returns. Notably, we control for common movements by using the overall stock market index as a common factor for all sectors and uncover the effect of the COVID-19 outbreak on the dynamics of the network. The results show that the network structure and spillovers differ considerably with respect to the market state. During stable times, the network shows a nice sectoral clustering structure which, however, changes dramatically for both adverse and beneficial market conditions constituting a highly connected network structure. The pandemic period itself shows an interesting restructuring of the network as the dominant clusters become more tightly connected while the rest of the network remains well separated. The sectoral topology thus has not collapsed into a unified market during the pandemic.
  • Publisher: Heidelberg: Springer
  • Language: English
  • Identifier: ISSN: 2199-4730
    EISSN: 2199-4730
    DOI: 10.1186/s40854-021-00228-2
    PMID: 35024275
  • Source: Open Access: DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals
    SpringerOpen
    AUTh Library subscriptions: ProQuest Central
    ROAD
    Coronavirus Research Database
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