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Confirmed COVID-19 Cases per Economic Activity during Autumn Wave in Belgium

International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021-11, Vol.18 (23), p.12489 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. ;2021 by the authors. 2021 ;ISSN: 1660-4601 ;ISSN: 1661-7827 ;EISSN: 1660-4601 ;DOI: 10.3390/ijerph182312489 ;PMID: 34886215

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  • Title:
    Confirmed COVID-19 Cases per Economic Activity during Autumn Wave in Belgium
  • Author: Verbeeck, Johan ; Vandersmissen, Godelieve ; Peeters, Jannes ; Klamer, Sofieke ; Hancart, Sharon ; Lernout, Tinne ; Dewatripont, Mathias ; Godderis, Lode ; Molenberghs, Geert
  • Subjects: Autumn ; Confidence intervals ; Contact tracing ; Coronaviruses ; COVID-19 ; Cross-sectional studies ; Economic activity ; Economic conditions ; Economic models ; Economic sectors ; Employees ; Health risks ; Longitudinal studies ; Pandemics ; Pharmaceuticals ; Population ; Random variables ; Schools ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 ; Viral diseases ; Viruses
  • Is Part Of: International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021-11, Vol.18 (23), p.12489
  • Description: Some occupational sectors, such as human health and care, food service, cultural and sport activities, have been associated with a higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection than other sectors. To curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2, it is preferable to apply targeted non-pharmaceutical interventions on selected economic sectors, rather than a full lockdown. However, the effect of these general and sector-specific interventions on the virus circulation has only been sparsely studied. We assess the COVID-19 incidence under different levels of non-pharmaceutical interventions per economic activity during the autumn 2020 wave in Belgium. The 14-day incidence of confirmed COVID-19 cases per the Statistical Classification of Economic Activities in the European Community (NACE–BEL) sector is modelled by a longitudinal Gaussian-Gaussian two-stage approach. This is based on exhaustive data on all employees in all sectors. In the presence of sanitary protocols and minimal non-pharmaceutical interventions, many sectors with close contact with others show considerably higher COVID-19 14-day incidences than other sectors. The effect of stricter non-pharmaceutical interventions in the general population and non-essential sectors is seen in the timing of the peak incidence and the width and height of the post-peak incidence. In most sectors incidences returned to higher levels after the peak than before and this decrease took longer for the health and care sector. Sanitary protocols for close proximity occupations may be sufficient during periods of low-level virus circulation, but progressively less with increasing circulation. Stricter general and sector-specific non-pharmaceutical interventions adequately decrease COVID-19 incidences, even in close proximity in essential sectors under solely sanitary protocols.
  • Publisher: Basel: MDPI AG
  • Language: English
  • Identifier: ISSN: 1660-4601
    ISSN: 1661-7827
    EISSN: 1660-4601
    DOI: 10.3390/ijerph182312489
    PMID: 34886215
  • Source: Freely Accessible Journals
    Open Access: PubMed Central
    AUTh Library subscriptions: ProQuest Central
    Coronavirus Research Database
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