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Análise do mercado brasileiro de celulose, 1969-2005 Analysis of the wood pulp Brazilian market, 1969 - 2005
Revista árvore, 2009-06, Vol.33 (3), p.563-573
[Peer Reviewed Journal]
ISSN: 0100-6762 ;EISSN: 1806-9088 ;DOI: 10.1590/S0100-67622009000300018
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Title:
Análise do mercado brasileiro de celulose, 1969-2005 Analysis of the wood pulp Brazilian market, 1969 - 2005
Author:
Naisy Silva Soares
;
Márcio Lopes da Silva
;
Sebastião Renato Valverde
;
João Eustáquio de Lima
;
Uemerson Rodrigues de Souza
Subjects:
Celulose
;
forest product
;
oferta
;
produto florestal
;
supply
;
Wood pulp
Is Part Of:
Revista árvore, 2009-06, Vol.33 (3), p.563-573
Description:
O segmento de celulose e papel contribui de forma significativa para a economia brasileira. O conhecimento da estrutura do mercado de celulose é fundamental para fins de planejamento da produção, comercialização e previsão para o setor. Este trabalho teve como objetivo principal especificar e estimar a oferta e demanda brasileira de celulose, bem como a oferta e a demanda de exportação, no período de 1969 a 2005. Os resultados, usando o método dos Mínimos Quadrados de Dois Estágios (MQ2E), indicaram que a oferta e a demanda interna de celulose, bem como a oferta e a demanda de exportação, são preço-inelástico. A demanda interna é inelástica com relação à renda. Já a demanda de exportação é elástica com relação à renda. A oferta interna é mais sensível a variações no preço das máquinas e equipamentos. A oferta de exportação é sensível a variações na produção e no consumo interno e a demanda de exportação, a variações na renda dos países importadores.The wood pulp and paper sector contributes significantly for the Brazilian economy. The knowledge of the wood pulp market structure is important for production planning, commercialization and forecast for the sector. The main objective of the present study it to specify and estimate the domestic supply and demand of wood pulp, as well as the export supply and demand functions, in the period from 1969 to 2005. The results provided by' the two-stage least squares method (TSLS) indicated that domestic and export supply and demand of wood pulp are price inelastic. The domestic demand is inelastic in relation to income while the export demand is elastic in relation to income. The domestic supply is more affected by changes in machinery and equipment prices. The export supply is affected by changes in production and domestic demand while the export demand is affected by changes in the income of the importing countries.
Publisher:
Sociedade de Investigações Florestais
Language:
English
Identifier:
ISSN: 0100-6762
EISSN: 1806-9088
DOI: 10.1590/S0100-67622009000300018
Source:
Digital Library of the Commons
DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals
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