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RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO₂ emissions

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2020-08, Vol.117 (33), p.19656-19657 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

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Title:
RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO₂ emissions
Author: Schwalm, Christopher R. ; Glendon, Spencer ; Duffy, Philip B.
Subjects: BRIEF REPORTS ; Carbon dioxide ; Computer simulation ; Emissions ; Environmental risk ; Fossil fuels ; Global climate models ; Physical Sciences
Is Part Of: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS, 2020-08, Vol.117 (33), p.19656-19657
Description: Climate simulation-based scenarios are routinely used to characterize a range of plausible climate futures. Despite some recent progress on bending the emissions curve, RCP8.5, the most aggressive scenario in assumed fossil fuel use for global climate models, will continue to serve as a useful tool for quantifying physical climate risk, especially over near- to midterm policy-relevant time horizons. Not only are the emissions consistent with RCP8.5 in close agreementwith historical total cumulative CO₂ emissions (within 1%), but RCP8.5 is also the best match out to midcentury under current and stated policies with still highly plausible levels of CO₂ emissions in 2100.
Publisher: Washington: National Academy of Sciences
Language: English
Identifier: ISSN: 0027-8424
EISSN: 1091-6490
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2007117117
PMID: 32747549
Source: GFMER Free Medical Journals
PubMed Central

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