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Country Forecast Venezuela May 2020
Country Forecast. Venezuela, 2020
2020 The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. All rights reserved. Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. No further reproduction is permitted. ;ISSN: 0966-9574 ;EISSN: 2048-9773
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Title:
Country Forecast Venezuela May 2020
Subjects:
Budget deficits
;
Consumption
;
Contempt of court
;
Coronaviruses
;
COVID-19
;
Economic crisis
;
Economic forecasts
;
Economic recovery
;
Economic reform
;
Economists
;
Foreign exchange rates
;
GDP
;
Gross Domestic Product
;
Hyperinflation
;
Infrastructure
;
International trade
;
Macroeconomics
;
Petroleum production
;
Politics
;
Population growth
;
Prices
;
Productivity
;
Purchasing power
;
Purchasing power parity
;
Tariffs
;
Tax rates
;
Volatility
;
Wage & price controls
Is Part Of:
Country Forecast. Venezuela, 2020
Description:
The opposition led by Juan Guaidó, the leader of the National Assembly, has lost its momentum, while international pressure has reached an impasse. [...]Mr Maduro has managed to exert a strict control over the country's complex security apparatus, which is crucial to maintaining power. Economic outlook 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Real GDP growth (%) -36.2 -25.4 2.4 12.4 1.9 0.4 Consumer price inflation (av, %) 17,365 11,301 1,423.1 370.6 227.2 86.1 Budget balance (% of GDP) -28.4 -21.5 -3.9 -3.8 -4.1 -4.1 Current-account balance (% of GDP) 1.2 -2.2 -0.6 6.0 6.4 5.2 3-month Treasury rate (av; %) 110.0 198.8 73.5 35.0 25.4 25.4 Exchange rate BsS:US$1 (av) 13,537 1,337,438 22,299,034 149,076,437 531,814,060 981,467,071 A combination of highly distortionary economic policies and subdued global oil prices will prolong Venezuela's recession in 2020. In 2031-50 we forecast that Venezuela's real GDP growth will pick up to 3.5%, as relative macroeconomic stability-a result of limited economic reforms from future governments-enables non-oil sector growth and boosts labour productivity growth, helping to offset deteriorating demographics. Fact sheet Annual data 2019a Historical averages (%) 2015-19 Population (m) 29.7 Population growth -0.2 GDP (US$ bn; market exchange rate) 117.0 Real GDP growth -19.6 GDP (US$ bn; purchasing power parity) 178.3 Real domestic demand growth -23.1 GDP per head (US$; market exchange rate) 3,932 Inflation 4,215.2 GDP per head (US$; purchasing power parity) 5,994 Current-account balance (% of GDP) 0.8 Exchange rate (av) BsS:US$ 13,537 FDI inflows (% of GDP) 0.6 a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates.
Publisher:
New York: The Economist Intelligence Unit N.A., Incorporated
Language:
English
Identifier:
ISSN: 0966-9574
EISSN: 2048-9773
Source:
ProQuest Central
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