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Prediction of mortality after emergent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement: use of APACHE II, Child-Pugh and MELD scores in Asian patients with refractory variceal hemorrhage

Korean Journal of Radiology, 2009, 10(5), , pp.481-489

2009. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0 (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License. ;Copyright © 2009 The Korean Society of Radiology 2009 ;ISSN: 1229-6929 ;EISSN: 2005-8330 ;DOI: 10.3348/kjr.2009.10.5.481 ;PMID: 19721833

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Title:
Prediction of mortality after emergent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement: use of APACHE II, Child-Pugh and MELD scores in Asian patients with refractory variceal hemorrhage
Author: Tzeng, Wen-Sheng ; Wu, Reng-Hong ; Lin, Ching-Yih ; Chen, Jyh-Jou ; Sheu, Ming-Juen ; Koay, Lok-Beng ; Lee, Chuan
Subjects: Abdomen ; Algorithms ; APACHE ; Ascites ; Blood ; Blood transfusions ; Emergency Treatment ; Esophageal and Gastric Varices - mortality ; Esophageal and Gastric Varices - surgery ; Female ; Hemorrhage ; Humans ; Infections ; Laboratories ; Liver cirrhosis ; Liver diseases ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Mortality ; Original ; Patients ; Portasystemic Shunt, Transjugular Intrahepatic - mortality ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Prognosis ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk factors ; ROC Curve ; Survival Analysis ; Thrombosis ; Ultrasonic imaging ; Veins & arteries ; 방사선과학
Is Part Of: Korean Journal of Radiology, 2009, 10(5), , pp.481-489
Description: This study was designed to determine if existing methods of grading liver function that have been developed in non-Asian patients with cirrhosis can be used to predict mortality in Asian patients treated for refractory variceal hemorrhage by the use of the transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) procedure. Data for 107 consecutive patients who underwent an emergency TIPS procedure were retrospectively analyzed. Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE II), Child-Pugh and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were calculated. Survival analyses were performed to evaluate the ability of the various models to predict 30-day, 60-day and 360-day mortality. The ability of stratified APACHE II, Child-Pugh, and MELD scores to predict survival was assessed by the use of Kaplan-Meier analysis with the log-rank test. No patient died during the TIPS procedure, but 82 patients died during the follow-up period. Thirty patients died within 30 days after the TIPS procedure; 37 patients died within 60 days and 53 patients died within 360 days. Univariate analysis indicated that hepatorenal syndrome, use of inotropic agents and mechanical ventilation were associated with elevated 30-day mortality (p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that a Child-Pugh score > 11 or an MELD score > 20 predicted increased risk of death at 30, 60 and 360 days (p < 0.05). APACHE II scores could only predict mortality at 360 days (p < 0.05). A Child-Pugh score > 11 or an MELD score > 20 are predictive of mortality in Asian patients with refractory variceal hemorrhage treated with the TIPS procedure. An APACHE II score is not predictive of early mortality in this patient population.
Publisher: Korea (South): The Korean Society of Radiology
Language: English
Identifier: ISSN: 1229-6929
EISSN: 2005-8330
DOI: 10.3348/kjr.2009.10.5.481
PMID: 19721833
Source: KoreaMed Synapse
Geneva Foundation Free Medical Journals at publisher websites
MEDLINE
PubMed Central
Alma/SFX Local Collection
KoreaMed Open Access
ProQuest Central

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Prediction of mortality after emergent transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt placement: use of APACHE II, Child-Pugh and MELD scores in Asian patients with refractory variceal hemorrhage

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