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Will African Agriculture Survive Climate Change?

The World Bank economic review, 2006-01, Vol.20 (3), p.367-388 [Peer Reviewed Journal]

Copyright 2006 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank ;The Author 2006. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / THE WORLD BANK. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org. ;CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/igo World Bank ;ISSN: 0258-6770 ;ISSN: 1564-698X ;EISSN: 1564-698X ;DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhl004

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Title:
Will African Agriculture Survive Climate Change?
Author: Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep ; Mendelsohn, Robert ; Hassan, Rashid ; Benhin, James ; Deressa, Temesgen ; Diop, Mbaye ; Eid, Helmy Mohamed ; Fosu, K. Yerfi ; Gbetibouo, Glwadys ; Jain, Suman ; Mahamadou, Ali ; Mano, Renneth ; Kabubo-Mariara, Jane ; El-Marsafawy, Samia ; Molua, Ernest ; Ouda, Samiha ; Ouedraogo, Mathieu ; Séne, Isidor ; Maddison, David ; Seo, S. Niggol ; Dinar, Ariel
Subjects: Africa ; AGRICULTURAL CROPS ; AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS ; AGRICULTURAL POLICIES ; Agricultural policy ; Agricultural production ; Agricultural sector ; AGRICULTURAL TRADE ; AGRICULTURE ; ANNUAL PRECIPITATION ; APPLIED METEOROLOGY ; Arid zones ; CALCULATION ; CARBON ; CARBON DIOXIDE ; CARBON DIOXIDE LEVELS ; CARBON FERTILIZATION ; CLIMATE ; CLIMATE ADAPTATION ; CLIMATE CHANGE ; CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ; CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS ; CLIMATE CONDITIONS ; CLIMATE DATA ; CLIMATE IMPACTS ; CLIMATE MODELS ; CLIMATE PREDICTION ; CLIMATE RESPONSE ; CLIMATE SCENARIO ; CLIMATE SCENARIOS ; CLIMATE SENSITIVITY ; CLIMATE VARIABILITY ; CLIMATE VARIABLE ; CLIMATE VARIABLES ; CLIMATE VARIATION ; CLIMATES ; CLIMATIC CHANGE ; CLOUDS ; CROP ; CROP DEVELOPMENT ; Crop economics ; CROP FARM ; CROP PRODUCTION ; CROP PRODUCTIVITY ; CROP REVENUE ; CROP SIMULATION ; CROPLAND ; CROPS ; Cross-sectional analysis ; DEGREE DAYS ; Dryland farming ; ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS ; Economic aspects ; ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ; ECONOMIC IMPACT ; Economic impact analysis ; ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ; EFFECT OF TEMPERATURE ; ELASTICITIES ; ELECTRICITY ; EMPIRICAL STUDIES ; ENVIRONMENTAL ; ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS ; Environmental impact studies ; EQUILIBRIUM ; Estimation ; EXTREME EVENT ; FARM ; FARM ACTIVITIES ; FARM DATA ; FARM INCOME ; FARM SIZE ; FARMERS ; FARMING ; FARMS ; FERTILIZER ; FOOD SECURITY ; FOOD SUPPLY ; GLOBAL CLIMATE ; GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ; GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL FACILITY ; GLOBAL IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ; GLOBAL WARMING ; GREENHOUSE ; GREENHOUSE DAMAGE ; HIGH TEMPERATURES ; HUNGER ; HYDROLOGICAL DATA ; HYDROLOGICAL MODEL ; HYDROLOGY ; HYDROMETEOROLOGY ; IMPACT OF CLIMATE ; IMPACT OF TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ; INCOMES ; INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE ; INPUT PRICES ; INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE ; Irrigated farming ; Irrigation ; IRRIGATION WATER ; LABOR COSTS ; LABOR MARKETS ; LAND ECONOMICS ; LAND FOR LIVESTOCK ; LAND PRODUCTIVITY ; LAND SURFACE ; LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURES ; LAND USE ; Livestock ; LIVESTOCK FARMERS ; LIVESTOCK GRAZING ; LIVESTOCK LOSSES ; LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS ; LIVESTOCK SECTOR ; MARKET PRICES ; MEAN RAINFALL ; MEAN TEMPERATURE ; METEOROLOGY ; MICROECONOMICS ; MITIGATION OF CLIMATE CHANGE ; MONSOONS ; NEGATIVE IMPACT ; PESTICIDES ; PESTS ; PRECIPITATION ; PRICE CHANGES ; PRIVATE SECTOR ; PROPERTY RIGHTS ; PUBLIC GOOD ; RAINFALL ; RAINY SEASONS ; RESILIENCE OF AGRICULTURE ; Revenue ; RURAL DEVELOPMENT ; SCIENTISTS ; SEASON ; SOCIAL COSTS ; SOCIAL COSTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ; SOCIAL DIMENSIONS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ; SOILS ; Studies ; SUMMER TEMPERATURE ; SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ; TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE ; TEMPERATE CLIMATE ; TEMPERATE CLIMATES ; TEMPERATURE ; TEMPERATURE EFFECTS ; WAGE RATES ; WAGES ; WARMER TEMPERATURES ; WELFARE EFFECTS ; WINTER TEMPERATURE
Is Part Of: The World Bank economic review, 2006-01, Vol.20 (3), p.367-388
Description: Measurement of the likely magnitude of the economic impact of climate change on African agriculture has been a challenge. Using data from a survey of more than 9,000 farmers across 11 African countries, a cross-sectional approach estimates how farm net revenues are affected by climate change compared with current mean temperature. Revenues fall with warming for dryland crops (temperature elasticity of −1.9) and livestock (−5.4), whereas revenues rise for irrigated crops (elasticity of 0.5), which are located in relatively cool parts of Africa and are buffered by irrigation from the effects of warming. At first, warming has little net aggregate effect as the gains for irrigated crops offset the losses for dryland crops and livestock. Warming, however, will likely reduce dryland farm income immedia-tely. The final effects will also depend on changes in precipitation, because revenues from all farm types increase with precipitation. Because irrigated farms are less sensitive to climate, where water is available, irrigation is a practical adaptation to climate change in Africa.
Publisher: Oxford: Oxford University Press
Language: English
Identifier: ISSN: 0258-6770
ISSN: 1564-698X
EISSN: 1564-698X
DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhl004
Source: Open Knowledge Repository
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Will African Agriculture Survive Climate Change?

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